Statistics / Winnng a plane.

[SixPapaCharlie]

So here's the question.

Is it better to buy 6 tickets to the wings of hope raffle or 3 to WOH and 3 to the terminal air museum raffle?

I am in the sporty's one via purchase, and I have sent in my 200 tickets for the EAA fairchild giveaway.

That leaves these 2 172s

WOH sells 3000 tickets and I have bought 3 which gives me 1:1000 chance
TAM sells 2500 if I buy 3, I have 1:833 for that raffle

So is it better to go that route and have 2 drawings each with 1: ~1000 chance or buy 3 more for WOH and have 1 shot at 1:500 chance.


Also if anyone is great at stats, what are the odds of winning all 4?
That would be swell.

 

[Jim Logajan]

Assume you are going to lose (a good bet) and base your decision on which cause you most support and send your disposable money that way.