Busting a TFR

[Dave Anderson]

I would hate to be in his shoes, but it happens. Especially if you live in the PA area, you deal with a multitude of TFR's every other weekend.

Are these really adding any safety?

 

[PeterNSteinmetz]

My point is there are only two possibilities why it has not happened again.

1) Security procedures
2) The terrorists are being nice guys

If you have a third option, I’m listening.

There is another possibility. It is such a low rate event that we don’t even know that the frequency has changed. Presently that is the case.

The rate of non-crew deliberately crashing an airliner which left a domestic US airport is not significantly different before and after 9/11/2001. The rate of such events is so low that it will take about 50 years to detect a difference with reasonable statistical power.