Know anyone with Coronavirus?

[RyanB]

I’m curious, I don’t personally know anyone who has COVID and many that I talk to also say that they don’t know anyone either. I know there’s a lot of people who say someone has it, but do they actually know for sure? My question is, how many of you know someone who legitimately has the virus? Not just ones who *think* they have it, but have been 100% confirmed to have coronavirus?

 

[PeterNSteinmetz]

The good news is, survivability numbers are WAY better than predicted.
...
The other bad news: If the math holds and no vaccine occurs (incredibly low probability but there’s minor hope) we’re an incredibly long timeframe away from herd immunity via infections. Even assuming a ton of not yet tested cases. Way into 2021.
...
Buckle up and adapt, kids. That’s the current math.

Yes, if you are in a vulnerable category, best to plan on fairly severe isolation until about mid 2021 (2 seasons). Have visitors wear masks like N95 or full face respirators.

If vaccines work, could shorten that, and there are some promising candidates. At least in the 21st century you can have most things delivered and there are plenty of forms of entertainment available.

 

[PeterNSteinmetz]

Many full face respirators are designed to protect the wearer from others, not others from the wearer. The N100 respirators we have been given have no filter on exhaled gas of the wearer. As a result, we put another mask over the exhalation valve.

Agreed if there is a valve. Most N95 masks that I see don’t have one. I think is more common in the N100 masks to reduce respiratory effort on exhalation.

 

[PeterNSteinmetz]

Don't get me wrong, I think people trust the government much less these days, but the country spent a year after 9/11 being pretty nationalistic and happy to comply with whatever the government threw out.

And thus, 19 years later we still have the “temporary” restrictions of the Patriot Act on our liberties.

 

[PeterNSteinmetz]

Study in the Lancet examining those factors which are related to increased Covid-19 deaths across countries. Things like obesity and age are important. Having a full lockdown not significantly related to mortality. Smoking frequency related in a weird way as protective.


https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(20)30208-X/fulltext